First, what is “affordable?” According to ABS, average weekly earnings as of November 2023 was $1,431 per week, a 35 per cent increase from 10 years ago. During the same period, rent has outpaced our growth in earnings with the median asking rent for houses growing by 56 per cent to $580 and the median asking rent for units growing by 52 per cent to $550.
Rent should be lower, yes, but this doesn’t answer the question of how low it should be because it would be unfair to demand rent stay flat (even if that’s actually what it did between 2013 and 2016).
A helpful perspective would be to consider weekly rent as a percentage of weekly earnings.
Here, we see where things went wrong. For the first eight years of the last decade, the share of rent versus earnings stayed relatively flat between 33 and 35 per cent. Weekly earnings growth even outpaced rent growth with the share of rent reaching its lowest point in 2020 for houses at 32 per cent of weekly earnings and in 2021 for units at 31.4 per cent of weekly earnings.
Since then, however, rent has skyrocketed. As of the latest release of ABS earnings data, the share of median asking rent versus weekly earnings was 40.5 per cent for houses and 38.4 per cent for units.