Rental growth is decelerating
It has been a tough four years for renters. Since the start of the pandemic, rents have risen on average $200 per week across Australia.
Rising levels of rental stress are a problem that can only be improved with an increase in the number of rental properties. Prior to the pandemic, rents were affordable because we had come off record levels of construction. And even though often criticised, negative gearing encouraged a lot of money to be invested in rental properties. Similarly, record levels of overseas investment was another driver. There was a lot of money flowing into housing, particularly new homes
Rental growth is decelerating and will continue to do so this year. Average household size is rising again after declining during the pandemic. Very high levels of population growth are moderating this year. Housing supply is still very low although moderating construction costs are likely to improve this a bit. However, we are unlikely to see rents moderate significantly until we start to reach targets set out by the Federal Government’s Housing Accord. Unfortunately, a marked increase in rental affordability is some years off.